Carlo Piccardi

Publications

Papers are organized by research area (the sets overlap - many papers are classified in more than one category).
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METHODS (go to APPLICATIONS)

Networks

C. Piccardi, An egonet based approach to effective weighted network comparison, Scientific Reports, 15, 23291, 2025. [doi] (codes and data available here)
C. Piccardi, L. Tajoli, and R. Vitali, Patterns of variability in the structure of global value chains: a network analysis, Review of World Economics, 160, 1009-1036, 2024. [doi]
P. Bolzern, A. Colombo, and C. Piccardi, Manipulating opinions in social networks with community structure, IEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering, 11(1), 185-196, 2024. [doi]
A. Radici, J. Claudet, A. Ligas, I. Bitetto, G. Lembo, M.T. Spedicato, P. Sartor, C. Piccardi, and P. Melia', Assessing fish-fishery dynamics from a spatially explicit metapopulation perspective reveals winners and losers in fisheries management, Journal of Applied Ecology, 60, 2482-2493, 2023. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Metrics for network comparison using egonet feature distribution, Scientific Reports, 13, 14657, 2023. [doi] (codes and data available here)
V.P. Hoang, C. Piccardi, L. Tajoli, Reshaping the structure of the World Trade Network: a pivotal role for China?, Applied Network Science, 8, 35, 2023. [doi]
L. Tajoli, F. Airoldi, and C. Piccardi, The network of international trade in services, Applied Network Science, 6, 68, 2021. [doi]
P. Finotelli, C. Piccardi, E. Miglio, and P. Dulio, A graphlet-based topological characterization of the resting-state network in healthy people, Frontiers in Neuroscience, 15, 665544, 2021. [doi]
F. Pierri, C. Piccardi, and S. Ceri, A multi-layer approach to disinformation detection in US and Italian news spreading on Twitter, EPJ Data Science, 9, 35, 2020. [doi]
F. Pierri, C. Piccardi, and S. Ceri, Topology comparison of Twitter diffusion networks effectively reveals misleading information, Scientific Reports, 10, 1372, 2020. [doi]
M. Tantardini, F. Ieva, L. Tajoli, and C. Piccardi, Comparing methods for comparing networks, Scientific Reports, 9, 17557, 2019. [doi]
A. Mechiche-Alami, C. Piccardi, K.A. Nicholas, and J.W. Seaquist, Transnational land acquisitions beyond the food and financial crises, Environmental Research Letters, 14, 084021, 2019. [doi]
F. Riva, E. Colombo, and C. Piccardi, Towards modelling diffusion mechanisms for sustainable off-grid electricity planning, Energy for Sustainable Development, 52, 11-25, 2019. [doi]
F. Dercole, F. Della Rossa, and C. Piccardi, Direct reciprocity and model-predictive rationality explain network reciprocity over social ties, Scientific Reports, 9, 5367, 2019. [doi]
C. Piccardi and L. Tajoli, Complexity, centralization, and fragility in economic networks, PLoS ONE, 13(11), e0208265, 2018. [doi]
C. Piccardi, M. Riccaboni, L. Tajoli, and Zhen Zhu, Random walks on the world input-output network, Journal of Complex Networks, 6, 187-205, 2018. [doi]
M. Bastos, C. Piccardi, M. Levy, N. McRoberts, M. Lubell, Core-periphery or decentralized? Topological shifts of specialized information on Twitter, Social Networks, 52, 282-293, 2018. [doi]
F. Calderoni, D. Brunetto, and C. Piccardi, Communities in criminal networks: A case study, Social Networks, 48, 116-125, 2017. [doi]
G. Berlusconi, F. Calderoni, N. Parolini, M. Verani, and C. Piccardi, Link prediction in criminal networks: A tool for criminal intelligence analysis, PLoS ONE, 11(4): e0154244, 2016. [doi]
I. Cingolani, C. Piccardi, and L. Tajoli, Discovering preferential patterns in sectoral trade networks, PLoS ONE, 10(10), e0140951, 2015. [doi]
C. Piccardi and L. Tajoli, Are preferential agreements significant for the world trade structure? A network community analysis, Kyklos, 68(2), 220-239, 2015. [doi]
C. Piccardi, A. Colombo, and R. Casagrandi, Connectivity interplays with age in shaping contagion over networks with vital dynamics, Physical Review E, 91(2), 022809, 2015. [doi]
P. Landi and C. Piccardi, Community analysis in directed networks: In-, out-, and pseudo-communities, Physical Review E, 89(1), 012814, 2014. [doi] (codes and data available here)
F. Della Rossa, F. Dercole, and C. Piccardi, Profiling core-periphery network structure by random walkers, Scientific Reports, 3, 1467, 2013. [doi] (codes and data available here)
C. Piccardi and L. Tajoli, Existence and significance of communities in the World Trade Web, Physical Review E, 85(6), 066119, 2012. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Finding and testing network communities by lumped Markov chains, PLoS ONE, 6(11), e27028, 2011. [doi] (codes and data available here)
C. Piccardi, L. Calatroni, and F. Bertoni, Clustering financial time series by network community analysis, International Journal of Modern Physics C, 22(1), 35-50, 2011. [doi]
C. Piccardi, L. Calatroni, and F. Bertoni, Communities in Italian corporate networks, Physica A, 389(22), 5247-5258, 2010. [doi]
I. Belykh, C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Synchrony in tritrophic food-chain metacommunities, Journal of Biological Dynamics, 3(5), 497-514, 2009. [doi]
C. Piccardi and R. Casagrandi, Inefficient epidemic spreading in scale-free networks, Physical Review E, 77(2), 026113/1-4, 2008. [doi]

Parameter estimation of nonlinear models

C. Piccardi, Parameter estimation for systems with peak-to-peak dynamics, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 18(3), 745-753, 2008. [doi]
C. Piccardi, On parameter estimation of chaotic systems via symbolic time series analysis, Chaos, 16(4), 043115/1-10, 2006. [doi]
C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, A method for parameter estimation in Lur'e systems, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 16(5), 1461-1470, 2006. [doi]

Symbolic time-series analysis

C. Piccardi, On parameter estimation of chaotic systems via symbolic time series analysis, Chaos, 16(4), 043115/1-10, 2006. [doi]
C. Piccardi, On the control of chaotic systems via symbolic time series analysis, Chaos, 14(4), 1026-1034, 2004. [doi]

Chaos control

C. Piccardi, On the control of chaotic systems via symbolic time series analysis, Chaos, 14(4), 1026-1034, 2004. [doi]
C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, The impact of noise and sampling frequency on the control of peak-to-peak dynamics, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 13(6), 1579-1586, 2003. [doi]
C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Control of complex peak-to-peak dynamics, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 12(12), 2927-2936, 2001. [doi]
S. Rinaldi, C. Piccardi and A. Gragnani, Pest outbreaks control: the approach of peak-to-peak dynamics, Natural Resource Modeling, 14(1), 177-195, 2001.
C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Optimal control of chaotic systems via peak-to-peak maps, Physica D, 144(3-4), 298-308, 2000. [doi]
C. Piccardi and S. Lazzaris, Vaccination policies for chaos reduction in childhood epidemics, IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 45(5), 591-595, 1998. [doi]
C. Piccardi and L. Ghezzi, Optimal control of a chaotic map: fixed point stabilization and attractor confinement, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 7(2), 437-446, 1997. [doi]
L. Ghezzi and C. Piccardi, PID control of a chaotic system: an application to an epidemiological model, Automatica, 33(2), 181-191, 1997. [doi]
C. Piccardi, On taming chaos using LTI filters, IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems I, 43(5), 431-432, 1996. [doi]

Synchronization

I. Belykh, C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Synchrony in tritrophic food-chain metacommunities, Journal of Biological Dynamics, 3(5), 497-514, 2009. [doi]
G. Torri, S. Rinaldi e C. Piccardi, Imperfect phase synchronization in the locomotor behavior of Halobacterium salinarium, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 13(10), 3085-3092, 2002. [doi]

Peak-to-peak dynamics

C. Piccardi, Parameter estimation for systems with peak-to-peak dynamics, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 18(3), 745-753, 2008. [doi]
C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, The impact of noise and sampling frequency on the control of peak-to-peak dynamics, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 13(6), 1579-1586, 2003. [doi]
C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Control of complex peak-to-peak dynamics, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 12(12), 2927-2936, 2001. [doi]
C. Piccardi and G. Feichtinger, Peak-to-peak dynamics in the dynastic cycle, Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 13(2), 195-202, 2002. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Controlling chaotic oscillations in delay-differential systems via peak-to-peak maps, IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems I, 48(8), 1032-1037, 2001. [doi]
S. Rinaldi, C. Piccardi and A. Gragnani, Pest outbreaks control: the approach of peak-to-peak dynamics, Natural Resource Modeling, 14(1), 177-195, 2001.

Bifurcation analysis

F. Della Rossa, M. Gobbi, G. Mastinu, C. Piccardi, and G. Previati, Bifurcation analysis of a car and driver model, Vehicle System Dynamics, 52, 142-156, 2014. [doi]
F. Della Rossa, G. Mastinu, C. Piccardi, Bifurcation analysis of an automobile model negotiating a curve, Vehicle System Dynamics, 50(10), 1539-1562, 2012. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Harmonic balance analysis of codimension-2 bifurcations in periodic systems, IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems I, 43(12), 1015-1018, 1996. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Bifurcation analysis via harmonic balance in periodic systems with feedback structure, International Journal of Control, 62(6), 1507-1515, 1995.
C. Piccardi, Bifurcations of limit cycles in periodically forced nonlinear systems: the harmonic balance approach, IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems I, 41(4), 315-320, 1994. [doi]
Y. Kuznetsov and C. Piccardi, Bifurcation and chaos in a periodically forced prototype adaptive control system, Kybernetika, 30(2), 121-128, 1994.

Positive (cooperative) systems

C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Remarks on excitability, stability and sign of equilibria in cooperative systems, Systems and Control Letters, 46(3), 153-163, 2002. [doi]
S. Muratori, C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, On the zeros of interconnected positive linear systems, International Journal of Systems Science, 25(12), 2255-2263, 1994.
S. Muratori, C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, On the minimum phase of compartmental systems, International Journal of Control, 56(1), 23-34, 1992.

Optimal control

C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Optimal control of chaotic systems via peak-to-peak maps, Physica D, 144(3-4), 298-308, 2000. [doi]
A. Nardini, C. Piccardi and R. Soncini-Sessa, A decomposition approach to suboptimal control of discrete-time systems, Optimal Control Applications and Methods, 15, 1-12, 1994. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Infinite-horizon periodic minimax control problem, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 79(2), 397-404, 1993. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Infinite-horizon minimax control with pointwise cost functional, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 78(2), 317-336, 1993. [doi]
C. Piccardi, Finite-horizon optimal control with pointwise cost functional, Applied Mathematics and Computation, 52(2-3), 345-353, 1992. [doi]
A. Nardini, C. Piccardi and R. Soncini-Sessa, On the integration of risk-aversion and average-performance optimization in reservoir control, Water Resources Research, 28(2), 487-497, 1992.
C. Piccardi and G.P. Bottoni, On the solution of reservoir optimal control problems by means of vector computers, Environmental Software, 6(1), 24-28,1991. [doi]
C. Piccardi and R. Soncini-Sessa, Stochastic dynamic programming for reservoir optimal control: dense discretization and inflow correlation assumption made possible by parallel computing, Water Resources Research, 27(5), 729-741, 1991.
R. Soncini-Sessa, J. Zuleta and C. Piccardi, Remarks on the application of a risk-averse approach to the management of El Carrizal reservoir, Advances in Water Resources, 13(2), 76-84, 1990. [doi]

APPLICATIONS (go to METHODS)

Economics and finance

C. Piccardi, L. Tajoli, and R. Vitali, Patterns of variability in the structure of global value chains: a network analysis, Review of World Economics, 160, 1009-1036, 2024. [doi]
V.P. Hoang, C. Piccardi, L. Tajoli, Reshaping the structure of the World Trade Network: a pivotal role for China?, Applied Network Science, 8, 35, 2023. [doi]
L. Tajoli, F. Airoldi, and C. Piccardi, The network of international trade in services, Applied Network Science, 6, 68, 2021. [doi]
C. Piccardi and L. Tajoli, Complexity, centralization, and fragility in economic networks, PLoS ONE, 13(11), e0208265, 2018. [doi]
C. Piccardi, M. Riccaboni, L. Tajoli, and Zhen Zhu, Random walks on the world input-output network, Journal of Complex Networks, 6, 187-205, 2018. [doi]
I. Cingolani, C. Piccardi, and L. Tajoli, Discovering preferential patterns in sectoral trade networks, PLoS ONE, 10(10), e0140951, 2015. [doi]
C. Piccardi and L. Tajoli, Are preferential agreements significant for the world trade structure? A network community analysis, Kyklos, 68(2), 220-239, 2015. [doi]
C. Piccardi and L. Tajoli, Existence and significance of communities in the World Trade Web, Physical Review E, 85(6), 066119, 2012. [doi]
C. Piccardi, L. Calatroni, and F. Bertoni, Clustering financial time series by network community analysis, International Journal of Modern Physics C, 22(1), 35-50, 2011. [doi]
C. Piccardi, L. Calatroni, and F. Bertoni, Communities in Italian corporate networks, Physica A, 389(22), 5247-5258, 2010. [doi]
L. Ghezzi and C. Piccardi, Stock valuation along a Markov chain, Applied Mathematics and Computation, 141(2-3), 385-393, 2003. [doi]
G. Feichtinger, L. Ghezzi and C. Piccardi, Chaotic behavior in an advertising diffusion model, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 5(1), 255-263, 1995. [doi]

Social sciences and social media

P. Bolzern, A. Colombo, and C. Piccardi, Manipulating opinions in social networks with community structure, IEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering, 11(1), 185-196, 2024. [doi]
F. Pierri, C. Piccardi, and S. Ceri, A multi-layer approach to disinformation detection in US and Italian news spreading on Twitter, EPJ Data Science, 9, 35, 2020. [doi]
F. Pierri, C. Piccardi, and S. Ceri, Topology comparison of Twitter diffusion networks effectively reveals misleading information, Scientific Reports, 10, 1372, 2020. [doi]
F. Dercole, F. Della Rossa, and C. Piccardi, Direct reciprocity and model-predictive rationality explain network reciprocity over social ties, Scientific Reports, 9, 5367, 2019. [doi]
M. Bastos, C. Piccardi, M. Levy, N. McRoberts, M. Lubell, Core-periphery or decentralized? Topological shifts of specialized information on Twitter, Social Networks, 52, 282-293, 2018. [doi]
F. Calderoni, D. Brunetto, and C. Piccardi, Communities in criminal networks: A case study, Social Networks, 48, 116-125, 2017. [doi]
G. Berlusconi, F. Calderoni, N. Parolini, M. Verani, and C. Piccardi, Link prediction in criminal networks: A tool for criminal intelligence analysis, PLoS ONE, 11(4): e0154244, 2016. [doi]
C. Piccardi and G. Feichtinger, Peak-to-peak dynamics in the dynastic cycle, Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 13(2), 195-202, 2002. [doi]
G. Feichtinger, C. Forst and C. Piccardi, A nonlinear dynamical model for the dynastic cycle, Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 7(2), 257-271, 1996. [doi]

Ecology

A. Radici, J. Claudet, A. Ligas, I. Bitetto, G. Lembo, M.T. Spedicato, P. Sartor, C. Piccardi, and P. Melia', Assessing fish-fishery dynamics from a spatially explicit metapopulation perspective reveals winners and losers in fisheries management, Journal of Applied Ecology, 60, 2482-2493, 2023. [doi]
I. Belykh, C. Piccardi and S. Rinaldi, Synchrony in tritrophic food-chain metacommunities, Journal of Biological Dynamics, 3(5), 497-514, 2009. [doi]
S. Rinaldi, C. Piccardi and A. Gragnani, Pest outbreaks control: the approach of peak-to-peak dynamics, Natural Resource Modeling, 14(1), 177-195, 2001.

Biology and Neurosciences

P. Finotelli, C. Piccardi, E. Miglio, and P. Dulio, A graphlet-based topological characterization of the resting-state network in healthy people, Frontiers in Neuroscience, 15, 665544, 2021. [doi]
G. Torri, S. Rinaldi e C. Piccardi, Imperfect phase synchronization in the locomotor behavior of Halobacterium salinarium, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 13(10), 3085-3092, 2002. [doi]

Energy and environment

A. Mechiche-Alami, C. Piccardi, K.A. Nicholas, and J.W. Seaquist, Transnational land acquisitions beyond the food and financial crises, Environmental Research Letters, 14, 084021, 2019. [doi]
F. Riva, E. Colombo, and C. Piccardi, Towards modelling diffusion mechanisms for sustainable off-grid electricity planning, Energy for Sustainable Development, 52, 11-25, 2019. [doi]

Epidemics

C. Piccardi, A. Colombo, and R. Casagrandi, Connectivity interplays with age in shaping contagion over networks with vital dynamics, Physical Review E, 91(2), 022809, 2015. [doi]
C. Piccardi and R. Casagrandi, Inefficient epidemic spreading in scale-free networks, Physical Review E, 77(2), 026113/1-4, 2008. [doi]
C. Piccardi and S. Lazzaris, Vaccination policies for chaos reduction in childhood epidemics, IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 45(5), 591-595, 1998. [doi]
L. Ghezzi and C. Piccardi, PID control of a chaotic system: an application to an epidemiological model, Automatica, 33(2), 181-191, 1997. [doi]
Y. Kuznetsov and C. Piccardi, Bifurcation analysis of periodic SEIR and SIR epidemic models, Journal of Mathematical Biology, 32, 109-121, 1994. [doi]

Vehicles

F. Della Rossa, M. Gobbi, G. Mastinu, C. Piccardi, and G. Previati, Bifurcation analysis of a car and driver model, Vehicle System Dynamics, 52, 142-156, 2014. [doi]
F. Della Rossa, G. Mastinu, C. Piccardi, Bifurcation analysis of an automobile model negotiating a curve, Vehicle System Dynamics, 50(10), 1539-1562, 2012. [doi]

Corrosion

G. Contreras, S. Goidanich, S. Maggi, C. Piccardi, M.V. Diamanti, M.P. Pedeferri, and L. Lazzari, Representing localized corrosion processes through cellular automata, Corrosion Reviews, 29(5-6), 241-245, 2011. [doi]

Water resources

A. Nardini, C. Piccardi and R. Soncini-Sessa, A decomposition approach to suboptimal control of discrete-time systems, Optimal Control Applications and Methods, 15, 1-12, 1994. [doi]
A. Nardini, C. Piccardi and R. Soncini-Sessa, On the integration of risk-aversion and average-performance optimization in reservoir control, Water Resources Research, 28(2), 487-497, 1992.
C. Piccardi and G.P. Bottoni, On the solution of reservoir optimal control problems by means of vector computers, Environmental Software, 6(1), 24-28,1991. [doi]
C. Piccardi and R. Soncini-Sessa, Stochastic dynamic programming for reservoir optimal control: dense discretization and inflow correlation assumption made possible by parallel computing, Water Resources Research, 27(5), 729-741, 1991.
R. Soncini-Sessa, J. Zuleta and C. Piccardi, Remarks on the application of a risk-averse approach to the management of El Carrizal reservoir, Advances in Water Resources, 13(2), 76-84, 1990. [doi]
C. Piccardi and R. Soncini-Sessa, An interactive program to simulate the management of a multipurpose water reservoir, Environmental Software, 4(3), 142-149, 1989. [doi]